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MARKET OVERVIEW

- the November 2005 report -

 

SALES & MARKET SHARE:  January to August 2005

Sales for Skincare and Color Cosmetics were $10.9 billion, 4% over the same period in 2004.Color Cosmetics grew 5% to $5.5 billion.  Sales for lip color products slowed down significantly.  Nail color continued its decline.  Applicators, eye shadow, eye liner, brow products and makeup sets were strong sellers.

Skincare grew 3% to 5.4 billion, led by anti-aging products and lip plumpers.  New products were an important factor, even though they often were reformulations of line extensions.

Niche brands are gaining market share at the expense of larger, more traditional brands.

PRESTIGE DISTRIBUTION

Saks, Inc. - sold its northern department store group to Bon-Ton Stores for$1.1 billion in cash, plus around $85 million in liabilities.  The northern department store group is made up of Parisian, Younkers, Boston Stores, Carson Pirie Scott, Herbergers and Bergners.  Still to be sold is Club Libby Liu.

Bon-Ton's purchase of the 142 doors makes it the second largest regional department store retailer in the country.  The largest is Dillard's.

Federated - the closing of 75 doors will likely hurt a number of prestige brands.  According to "Cosmetic World" one major company estimates that it may lose $18 million in sales in 2006.

Extreme Makeovers - getting ready for Bloomingdale‚s West Coast debut, the big four Union Square retailers (Neiman Marcus, Nordstrom, Saks Fifth Avenue and Macy's) are undergoing major renovations.  Each store is spending millions on its makeover, hoping this will result in increased sales.

Department Stores - are searching for a way to stop the sales decline in the prestige beauty category and are beginning to face up to the possible need to reinvent themselves.  As a result of surveying customers, Macy's has eliminated tables and etageres in the cosmetic department, and has standardized visuals to give single-focus brand messages, rather than a sea of communications.  Bloomingdale's is bringing in more niche brands.  Nordstrom is returning to its reputation as tops in customer service.  Special in-store events are on the increase for all stores, as are better educated beauty advisors.  It may be that the beauty business in the department store has become a dinosaur, and these efforts may not work.

Nurse On Call - Nordstrom in San Francisco has hired a registered nurse (a former beauty advisor) who consults with skincare customers, then recommends products for them, with no loyalty to any specific brand.

For Sale - Estee Lauder has put the Stila brand up for sale.

BROAD DISTRIBUTION

Pushing the envelope - on retail prices with brands‚ state-of-the-art formulations.  Some prices in this distribution channel now match entry level department store retails, risking losing some consumers to prestige brands.  These brands can match prestige in formulation, packaging, advertising and promotion, but they haven't found a way to test actual product at point-of-purchase, giving department stores the edge.

Wal-Mart exclusives - Wal-Mart has contracted for products exclusive to its stores with Jessica Simpson and Ashanti, following the success of Skin Simple by Elizabeth Arden, the Enchantment scent based on the television soap opera "All My Children" and the Mary Kate and Ashley line.

ALTERNATIVE DISTRIBUTION

Global Focus - Avon will have fewer, but more "impactful" launches in order to strengthen its key global brands.

Team Spirit - Kiss My Face and Old Navy have joined forces to launch Onbody, a natural-based body care line.  The products are said to bridge pampering one's self and traditional personal care.  The line will be in all of Old Navy‚Äôs 850 stores.

Providing the personal touch According to the Direct Selling Association, U.S. sales for door-to-door and in-home selling has almost doubled in the last decade to more than $30 billion a year (including clothing and other non-cosmetic items).  This method of selling products can be an effective extension to a brand's multichannel marketing.

Salons/Spas

There were 136 million spa visits in the U.S. in 2003.60% were to day spas.  More than 70% were female, but in a survey of 500 men, ages 21 - 65, conducted by Equation Research, 73% of men feel spa treatments can alleviate the stress of travel.  More than 26% of the men in this survey have been to a spa at least once.

Spafumerie, a venue that is half day spa and half retail cosmetics may be an important niche for future retailing.  Another store that falls into this category is Ulta, which has a beauty salon in each of its cosmetics and toiletries stores.

Also, Peninsula Beauty, an 8-store chain in northern California that offers a full range of products, many from niche brands.  The stores each have a full service salon.

In February Klinger Advanced Aesthetics (KAA) will introduce Cosmedicine in its 12 spas and exclusively in Sephora.  Cosmedicine is a skincare regimen formulated with active ingredients.  The line's positioning, "Truth Is Beauty" is to tell the truth about what the products actually do.  To support this credo, KAA hired Johns Hopkins Medical to design clinical trials and evaluation of the results, and to confirm the product benefits reported by Klinger.

The 18 products are segmented into 8 "skin states", including Excessive Dryness, Loss of Elasticity and Basic Skin Health.  The line utilizes a diagnostic machine to analyze skin and recommend products.

Advanced Aesthetics Institute, a company that specializes in cosmetic medical and non-medical appearance enhancement, bought the Georgette Klinger salons earlier this year.

 

... topics covered in the remaining 7 pages are:



E-tailing

Freestanding Stores/Specialty Cosmetic Stores

The Economy

The Product Scene

Luxury Spending

Consumer Demograaphics

Celebrity Signings